$MSTR options are trading like the upside is over. That screams mispricing — and this is my top pick for a long-term call that’s way too cheap.

The 1080 June 2026 Call is trading at $26.9 — 60% cheaper than the 400 Sept 2025 Call at $44.8 (chart 1).

Based on Black-Scholes, the… pic.twitter.com/JXdULMoFTT

— Enea₿⚡️ (@EneaDenkt) April 18, 2025

What will MSTR price be with Bitcoin at $150k? 💥

▶️ $2720 if @Strategy stops buying BTC today (oops, @saylor just added 2 more orange dots in the last few days).

What if BTC hits $200k and MSTR increases their BTC per share by 1.5x?

▶️ $16,271 will be the price, assuming MSTR… pic.twitter.com/33m3iUsUvo

— Enea₿⚡️ (@EneaDenkt) March 24, 2025

Black-Scholes models won’t help you when you’ve got a contrarian view of the market — like most of us in IrresponsiblyLong MSTR.

The deeper I dig into historical options data, the more it becomes clear: Black-Scholes is a tool for someone who doesn’t really know the stock. It’s…

— Enea₿⚡️ (@EneaDenkt) April 17, 2025

The journey may be bumpy, but stay focused.
Don't forget where we're headed.#Bitcoin #MSTR pic.twitter.com/vm8uPBFKa2

— Enea₿⚡️ (@EneaDenkt) March 14, 2025

Data pulled.

1st quick look at MSTR option data.

$400 Call performance during Q4 race.

Plotting price vs marks for different expirations:

+2880% increase from end of October for MSTR $400 with 13-12-2024 expiration vs +86% for MSTR price.@Z06Z07 @hillery_dan @JoshMandell6 pic.twitter.com/6UijZl2ZXf

— Enea₿⚡️ (@EneaDenkt) February 15, 2025

2/ Models are powerful, but they're just models. Don't be a turkey!

What “One Thousand and One Days in the Life of a Turkey” from @nntaleb teaches us about using statistical models.

Whenever I discuss the power and limitations of statistical models, this is the example I always… pic.twitter.com/Wgei6LzGi0

— Enea₿⚡️ (@EneaDenkt) March 28, 2025

Tough spot for @RealTrollstein and @JoshMandell6 with their MSTR calls expiring on 03-21.

Let's see what looking at already expired contracts on GammaLift Beta tells us about OTM calls that are close to ATM and also near expiration.

How do premium behave? And what should we… https://t.co/uYSivXrMBJ pic.twitter.com/AdrWQmvKjd

— Enea₿⚡️ (@EneaDenkt) March 19, 2025

Global Liquidity Index (GLI) and @JoshMandell6 awesome trades? Let's think together on this.

Two days ago, I was contemplating buying some new options, but wasn't sure. I didn't buy yet.

As I observed Josh’s trades, I couldn’t help but think about the Global Liquidity Index… pic.twitter.com/rQETPlsyX0

— Enea₿⚡️ (@EneaDenkt) March 5, 2025

Rolling your MSTR calls?

This is the graph you need.

These days a 400 June has the same premium of a 600 September, or 900 December.

Graph as old as end of last week.@hillery_dan @RealTrollstein @son_of_satoshii pic.twitter.com/yoVm8lFl2q

— Enea₿⚡️ (@EneaDenkt) March 17, 2025

2/ Why did my MSTR option premiums go positive even though the price hasn't recovered yet? 🤔

I entered during a period of "blood in the streets" and low Implied Volatility. 📉

Now, those same contracts are more expensive, so my premium grows more than proportionally compared… pic.twitter.com/on26QEFyti

— Enea₿⚡️ (@EneaDenkt) March 17, 2025

1/ The 500$ July call was up +5% and the 700$ December call was up +11%, even though MSTR hasn't fully recovered to the level when I entered.

Last Friday, both calls surged by 20 percentage points in just one day as MSTR showed signs of recovery! 🚀

A few more green days for… pic.twitter.com/P6eSiGxbzu

— Enea₿⚡️ (@EneaDenkt) March 17, 2025

Money is made when there’s blood in the streets.

When the news and experts call for a recession and markets overreact, that’s historically when money is made in the market. pic.twitter.com/zuK6IHBpwd

— Enea₿⚡️ (@EneaDenkt) March 18, 2025

A reminder that Volatility is Vitality.

MSTR vs IBIT returns since IBIT launch:

- MSTR + 427.4%

- IBIT +100.6%

Do you know what you are holding?#Bitcoin #MSTR pic.twitter.com/OTjet1Plqe

— Enea₿⚡️ (@EneaDenkt) February 25, 2025